Are ‘Alternative Fuels’ the Answer?

From the president to news pundits to congress to ‘some’ of the public, concern rages about what is seen as an energy crisis. In particular, those raging are certain that the world faces an oil shortage in the not-to-distant future. Not only does the world face oil calamity, but such oil as there is comes from areas of the world dominated by enemies of western civilization. Americans are treated to the mixed message that we must become oil sufficient ourselves and we must develop alternatives to oil for our energy requirements, in particular, to replace gasoline for our cars and other vehicles.

The answers to the ‘energy crisis’ political energy ‘experts’ have for our future are hydrogen-fueled vehicles, something called ‘fuel cells’ for cars, and replacing gasoline with ethanol (no not ‘moon shine’). Are these proposals realistic and are there better answers, ‘NO’ and ‘YES’!

Although better and more current numbers are readily available by simply adding up the number of registered vehicles in all states, ‘The Physics Factbook’, edited by Glen Elert, reports that as of 2003 there were 204,000,000 vehicles in the United States (how many more by 2006?). Other estimates have been as high as 230,000,000 vehicles. It is also estimated that as of 1997 there were 600,000,000 vehicles in the world and by 2030 there would be 1,200,000,000 vehicles in the world. Virtually all of these vehicles operate with internal combustion engines using gasoline or diesel fuel. If overnight the world would be supplied with available hydrogen or ethanol-fueled vehicles, there still would be millions of vehicles needing gasoline or diesel fuel to operate.

Is it realistic to expect that commercial hydrogen-fueled vehicles or vehicles with fuel cells will be available anytime soon when at present they are at best scientific experiments? Well, what do you think? The millions of dollars being proposed for fuel cells and hydrogen vehicle research could much better be spent elsewhere on real-world technology already proven to be able to replace oil we import from undependable countries; namely, processes that produce oil from coal.

The United States has among the largest proven reserves of coal in the world. Oil production from coal is successfully performed on a commercial basis from tar sands in Alberta, Canada (China, Japan and others are already investing in Canada). There is a pilot plant in Pennsylvania producing oil from coal. A company in South Africa has been commercially producing oil from coal for decades. The Nazi Germany war machine was fueled by oil produced from coal which enabled them to extend World War II several years. The technology to produce oil from coal exists now and could be made even more efficient and successful if the millions of dollars proposed for hydrogen-as-fuel research and fuel cells were diverted to programs that will really help our country in the comparatively near future. Huge coal reserves exist in Montana and other western states as well as in Pennsylvania. Imagine the additional employment of Americans developing these resources would also provide.

Ethanol is also seen by many as a panacea for our ‘oil crises, but is this realistic?

Presently several ethanol-based fuels are potentially available with a blend of 85% ethanol and 15% gasoline the most common. There are recognized drawbacks to ethanol fuel. It has lower fuel economy and costs of ethanol are escalating. A serious issue is that one mega company Archer Daniel Midland is the single main supplier; one company paralleling the success of many major competitive oil companies. Ethanol is a less efficient fuel so motorists would have to spend more for ethanol fuel than for gasoline, even at the present high prices of gasoline at the pumps. Speaking of ‘pumps’, fewer than 1,000 of the 176,000 filling stations in the country sell ethanol fuel (most are in farm states), not a comforting thought  to those of us that drive daily. Today there are only 93 plants making ethanol in the United States, 24 more are said to be under construction. When all ethanol plants become available, their production will be 5 billion gallons a year. Current annual consumption of gasoline is 140 billion gallons a year.

Dr. Vincent Gioia is a retired attorney, formerly VP and General Council, Allegheny Ludlum Steel Corp., now Allegheny Teledyne.